Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-2 Levski Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
55%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
56%
Away Win
57%
-1.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.2pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 61%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.17/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.00
+39% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Levski Sofia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-2 HT 1-2 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
02.12.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
06.08.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-1 HT 2-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
21.05.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-3 HT 0-2 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
08.05.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
11.07.2015 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0-2
AWAY Levski Sofia
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia beat Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 48% of the ball to Levski Sofia's 52%, shots finished 6-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Levski Sofia led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.67 for Levski Sofia.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-2 Levski Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 22%, draw 23%, Levski Sofia 56%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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