Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-2 Levski Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.7pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 45%
+57% / +57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.61/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.99
+36% / +126% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Levski Sofia
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
06.08.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-1 HT 2-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
21.05.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-3 HT 0-2 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
08.05.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
11.07.2015 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1-2
AWAY Levski Sofia
44% Ball Possession 56%
2 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia nicked a narrow win over Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 44% of the ball to Levski Sofia's 56%, shots finished 2-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Levski Sofia led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.60 for Levski Sofia.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-2 Levski Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 33%, draw 25%, Levski Sofia 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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