CSKA Sofia 2-2 Levski Krumovgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-13.7pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.7pp
26%
Away Win
14%
+11.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad EU Bookmakers 18%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.55/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.57
-12% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad 1-4 HT 1-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
21.07.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
2-2
AWAY Levski Krumovgrad
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs Levski Krumovgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia and Levski Krumovgrad shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA Sofia at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 58% of the ball to Levski Krumovgrad's 42%, shots finished 20-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for CSKA Sofia and 0.50 for Levski Krumovgrad.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Levski Krumovgrad?

CSKA Sofia 2-2 Levski Krumovgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Levski Krumovgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 52%, draw 22%, Levski Krumovgrad 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✗ BTTS No
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