Hellerup IK 0-2 Fremad Amager — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 29% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-6.8pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.0pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hellerup IK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Fremad Amager EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.10/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.03
-18% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hellerup IK
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fremad Amager
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
15.06.2024 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 1-0 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
26.04.2024 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 3-0 HT 0-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
27.10.2023 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 3-1 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
08.08.2023 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 2-1 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAK
04.08.2023 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 2-1 HT 1-1 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
06.09.2014 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 1-1 HT 1-1 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hellerup IK
0-2
AWAY Fremad Amager
53% Ball Possession 47%
4 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hellerup IK vs Fremad Amager
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fremad Amager beat Hellerup IK 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and on the day Fremad Amager made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Hellerup IK had 53% of the ball to Fremad Amager's 47%, shots finished 4-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hellerup IK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hellerup IK and 1.33 for Fremad Amager.

What was the final score of Hellerup IK vs Fremad Amager?

Hellerup IK 0-2 Fremad Amager in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hellerup IK vs Fremad Amager?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hellerup IK win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Hellerup IK 34%, draw 32%, Fremad Amager 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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