Fremad Amager 3-0 Hellerup IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.9
2-3 Goals
35%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.16
6+ Goals
8%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 31% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.5pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.7pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fremad Amager EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellerup IK EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.56/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.45
+4% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fremad Amager
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Hellerup IK
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2023 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 3-1 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
08.08.2023 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 2-1 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAK
04.08.2023 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 2-1 HT 1-1 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
06.09.2014 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 1-1 HT 1-1 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fremad Amager
3-0
AWAY Hellerup IK
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fremad Amager vs Hellerup IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fremad Amager ran out comfortable winners over Hellerup IK 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fremad Amager as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fremad Amager had 51% of the ball to Hellerup IK's 49%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hellerup IK led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Fremad Amager and 1.75 for Hellerup IK.

What was the final score of Fremad Amager vs Hellerup IK?

Fremad Amager 3-0 Hellerup IK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fremad Amager vs Hellerup IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fremad Amager win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fremad Amager 41%, draw 29%, Hellerup IK 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fremad Amager), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fremad Amager) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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