Esbjerg 0-1 Aarhus Fremad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 26 Apr 2024

Esbjerg
0-1 HT 0-1
Aarhus Fremad
📅26/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Denmark - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Esbjerg vs Aarhus Fremad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.5
No
53%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
5.39
2-3 Goals
33%
1.99
4-5 Goals
29%
2.68
6+ Goals
11%
6.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.3pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.7pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.9pp
53%
BTTS No
38%
+15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Esbjerg v Aarhus Fremad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
2.71/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.09
+44% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +54%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Esbjerg vs Aarhus Fremad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esbjerg
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.03.2024 Esbjerg Esbjerg 2-2 HT 1-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
14.10.2023 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 2-4 HT 1-3 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN2
21.05.2023 Esbjerg Esbjerg 3-1 HT 0-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
14.05.2023 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-3 HT 0-3 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN2
05.03.2023 Esbjerg Esbjerg 0-2 HT 0-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
26.08.2022 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 0-1 HT 0-1 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN2
POST-MATCH Esbjerg vs Aarhus Fremad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarhus Fremad squeezed past Esbjerg 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Esbjerg at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esbjerg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Esbjerg and 1.33 for Aarhus Fremad.

What was the final score of Esbjerg vs Aarhus Fremad?

Esbjerg 0-1 Aarhus Fremad in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esbjerg vs Aarhus Fremad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esbjerg win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Esbjerg 53%, draw 21%, Aarhus Fremad 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Esbjerg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esbjerg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN2 More Denmark - 2nd Division
26 Apr 2024
20:00 Fremad Amager vs Hellerup IK Analysis →
20:00 Thisted vs Skive IK Analysis →
20:00 Nykobing vs Akademisk BK Analysis →