Nykobing 0-1 Akademisk BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.29
Over 2.5
46%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.5
No
57%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
4.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
21%
2.84
6+ Goals
10%
7.88
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.72 — our 31% vs market 16.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
40%
+14.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
60%
-14.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
62%
-19.0pp
57%
BTTS No
38%
+19.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nykobing EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Akademisk BK EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.39
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
376 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nykobing
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Akademisk BK
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
28.03.2024 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 2-3 HT 0-2 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
05.08.2023 Nykobing Nykobing 0-0 HT 0-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
15.05.2021 Nykobing Nykobing 3-0 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
08.11.2020 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-6 HT 0-4 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nykobing
0-1
AWAY Akademisk BK
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nykobing vs Akademisk BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Akademisk BK edged past Nykobing 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Akademisk BK as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Nykobing had 45% of the ball to Akademisk BK's 55%, shots finished 9-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nykobing had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Nykobing and 0.75 for Akademisk BK.

What was the final score of Nykobing vs Akademisk BK?

Nykobing 0-1 Akademisk BK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nykobing vs Akademisk BK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Akademisk BK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nykobing 32%, draw 25%, Akademisk BK 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Akademisk BK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Akademisk BK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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