Thisted 1-0 Skive IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 26 Apr 2024

📅26/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
38%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
8%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 31% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
21%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.7pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.1pp
38%
Away Win
47%
-8.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.7pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thisted EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Skive IK EU Bookmakers 51%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+3% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thisted
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Skive IK
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2023 Skive IK Skive IK 2-0 HT 0-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
08.09.2023 Thisted Thisted 0-0 HT 0-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
05.09.2023 Skive IK Skive IK 1-3 HT 0-2 Thisted Thisted DAK
10.04.2023 Thisted Thisted 0-0 HT 0-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
20.08.2022 Skive IK Skive IK 1-2 HT 1-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
11.03.2022 Thisted Thisted 0-1 HT 0-1 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thisted
1-0
AWAY Skive IK
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Thisted vs Skive IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thisted squeezed past Skive IK 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 32% / 38% — and on the day Thisted made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Thisted had 38% of the ball to Skive IK's 62%, shots finished 6-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Thisted and 0.83 for Skive IK.

What was the final score of Thisted vs Skive IK?

Thisted 1-0 Skive IK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thisted vs Skive IK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Skive IK win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Thisted 29%, draw 32%, Skive IK 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Skive IK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Skive IK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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