Akademisk BK 2-3 Nykobing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.49
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.42
6+ Goals
12%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 31% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akademisk BK EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Nykobing EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
2.35/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.73/1.73
+64% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +135% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
393 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akademisk BK
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Nykobing
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 12
5 Corners 6
05.08.2023 Nykobing Nykobing 0-0 HT 0-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
15.05.2021 Nykobing Nykobing 3-0 HT 1-0 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK DAN2
08.11.2020 Akademisk BK Akademisk BK 1-6 HT 0-4 Nykobing Nykobing DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akademisk BK
2-3
AWAY Nykobing
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Akademisk BK vs Nykobing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nykobing edged past Akademisk BK 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Akademisk BK at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Akademisk BK had 64% of the ball to Nykobing's 36%, shots finished 21-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nykobing led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Akademisk BK and 3.00 for Nykobing.

What was the final score of Akademisk BK vs Nykobing?

Akademisk BK 2-3 Nykobing in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akademisk BK vs Nykobing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Akademisk BK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Akademisk BK 42%, draw 25%, Nykobing 34%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Akademisk BK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Akademisk BK) ✓ Over 2.5
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