Aarhus Fremad 0-1 Skive IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 28 Mar 2024

Aarhus Fremad
0-1 HT 0-1
Skive IK
📅28/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Denmark - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Aarhus Fremad vs Skive IK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.97
Over 2.5
40%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.75
No
58%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
3.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
3.28
6+ Goals
7%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 35% vs market 21.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
47%
+13.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
53%
-13.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.4pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aarhus Fremad v Skive IK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Skive IK EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +15%
2.14/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.37
+17% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
416 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7

Aarhus Fremad vs Skive IK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarhus Fremad
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Skive IK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.08.2023 Skive IK Skive IK 1-2 HT 0-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
24.03.2023 Skive IK Skive IK 1-3 HT 0-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
01.10.2022 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 2-2 HT 2-0 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
15.10.2021 Skive IK Skive IK 2-1 HT 0-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
28.08.2021 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-1 HT 1-1 Skive IK Skive IK DAN2
14.06.2014 Skive IK Skive IK 2-0 HT 1-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
POST-MATCH Aarhus Fremad vs Skive IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skive IK nicked a narrow win over Aarhus Fremad 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Aarhus Fremad at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aarhus Fremad and 1.50 for Skive IK.

What was the final score of Aarhus Fremad vs Skive IK?

Aarhus Fremad 0-1 Skive IK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarhus Fremad vs Skive IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Aarhus Fremad 51%, draw 25%, Skive IK 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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