Fremad Amager 1-3 Middelfart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.07
2-3 Goals
46%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
24%
3.81
6+ Goals
9%
16.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.81 — our 24% vs market 21.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
47%
Away Win
47%
-0.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fremad Amager EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Middelfart EU Bookmakers 51%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.46
-20% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -19%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
254 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fremad Amager
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Middelfart
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2023 Middelfart Middelfart 1-0 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fremad Amager
1-3
AWAY Middelfart
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fremad Amager vs Middelfart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middelfart saw off Fremad Amager 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Middelfart as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Fremad Amager had 53% of the ball to Middelfart's 47%, shots finished 12-9.

What was the final score of Fremad Amager vs Middelfart?

Fremad Amager 1-3 Middelfart in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fremad Amager vs Middelfart?

Before kick-off our model rated an Middelfart win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fremad Amager 28%, draw 26%, Middelfart 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middelfart), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Middelfart) ✓ Over 2.5
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