Hellerup IK 4-2 FA 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.95
Over 2.5
57%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.4
6+ Goals
14%
12.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.4 — our 24% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
35%
-4.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+2.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.7pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hellerup IK EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY FA 2000 EU Bookmakers 43%
-17% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.24/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.69
-5% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hellerup IK
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FA 2000
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
08.09.2023 FA 2000 FA 2000 2-0 HT 1-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
22.10.2021 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 2-2 HT 0-2 FA 2000 FA 2000 DAN2
28.08.2021 FA 2000 FA 2000 1-1 HT 1-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
08.05.2021 FA 2000 FA 2000 0-0 HT 0-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
06.11.2020 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 2-1 HT 0-1 FA 2000 FA 2000 DAN2
12.10.2019 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 2-0 HT 0-0 FA 2000 FA 2000 DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hellerup IK
4-2
AWAY FA 2000
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hellerup IK vs FA 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hellerup IK beat FA 2000 4-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FA 2000 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Hellerup IK had 38% of the ball to FA 2000's 62%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hellerup IK had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hellerup IK and 1.00 for FA 2000.

What was the final score of Hellerup IK vs FA 2000?

Hellerup IK 4-2 FA 2000 in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hellerup IK vs FA 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated an FA 2000 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hellerup IK 30%, draw 28%, FA 2000 42%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FA 2000) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FA 2000) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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