JFK Ventspils 0-1 Tukums II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
34%
3.94
Away
17%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.3pp
34%
Draw
22%
+11.7pp
17%
Away Win
25%
-8.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.5pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Tukums II EU Bookmakers 29%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.37/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/3.63
-44% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -44%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
468 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JFK Ventspils
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Tukums II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
06.04.2024 Tukums II Tukums II 1-1 HT 0-1 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
30.09.2023 Tukums II Tukums II 1-1 HT 1-0 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
28.05.2023 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 1-0 HT 1-0 Tukums II Tukums II LET1
POST-MATCH JFK Ventspils vs Tukums II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tukums II nicked a narrow win over JFK Ventspils 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was JFK Ventspils at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, JFK Ventspils had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for JFK Ventspils and 0.67 for Tukums II.

What was the final score of JFK Ventspils vs Tukums II?

JFK Ventspils 0-1 Tukums II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JFK Ventspils vs Tukums II?

Before kick-off our model rated a JFK Ventspils win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split JFK Ventspils 50%, draw 34%, Tukums II 17%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (JFK Ventspils) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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