Garliava 2-4 FA Siauliai II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.29
Over 2.5
62%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-4.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-2.5pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Garliava EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.46/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.96
-7% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Garliava
2W-2D-0L
AWAY FA Siauliai II
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2024 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 0-0 HT 0-0 Garliava Garliava LIT1
07.10.2023 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 3-3 HT 1-1 Garliava Garliava LIT1
20.05.2023 Garliava Garliava 3-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
09.07.2022 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 0-3 HT 0-2 Garliava Garliava LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Garliava
2-4
AWAY FA Siauliai II
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Garliava vs FA Siauliai II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai II beat Garliava 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Garliava at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Garliava had 46% of the ball to FA Siauliai II's 54%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Garliava had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Garliava and 0.75 for FA Siauliai II.

What was the final score of Garliava vs FA Siauliai II?

Garliava 2-4 FA Siauliai II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Garliava vs FA Siauliai II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Garliava win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Garliava 41%, draw 27%, FA Siauliai II 33%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Garliava) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Garliava) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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