Panevezys II 0-3 Babrungas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
51%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.56
No
53%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+5.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-3.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.5pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Babrungas EU Bookmakers 59%
-14% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.84/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.70
-18% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +48%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panevezys II
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Babrungas
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2024 Babrungas Babrungas 0-0 HT 0-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
04.08.2023 Babrungas Babrungas 5-2 HT 2-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
17.03.2023 Panevezys II Panevezys II 2-4 HT 2-2 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
28.08.2022 Panevezys II Panevezys II 3-2 HT 1-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
18.04.2022 Babrungas Babrungas 1-1 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panevezys II
0-3
AWAY Babrungas
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Panevezys II vs Babrungas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babrungas ran out comfortable winners over Panevezys II 3-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Babrungas as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Panevezys II had 41% of the ball to Babrungas's 59%, shots finished 9-21.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Babrungas led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Panevezys II and 2.40 for Babrungas.

What was the final score of Panevezys II vs Babrungas?

Panevezys II 0-3 Babrungas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panevezys II vs Babrungas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Babrungas win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Panevezys II 27%, draw 22%, Babrungas 51%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Babrungas), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Babrungas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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