Zamalek 1-0 El Gounah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
3.4
6+ Goals
9%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 32% vs market 23.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.5pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamalek EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY El Gounah EU Bookmakers 28%
+14% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
1.67/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.32
+42% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
15.0 Crosses 15.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamalek
4W-1D-1L
AWAY El Gounah
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.69 xG 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
345 Passes 276
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.03.2024 El Gounah El Gounah 3-2 HT 1-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
05.08.2022 El Gounah El Gounah 1-4 HT 0-2 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
07.03.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 2-1 HT 2-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
30.05.2021 El Gounah El Gounah 0-0 HT 0-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
19.01.2021 Zamalek Zamalek 1-0 HT 1-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
27.09.2020 Zamalek Zamalek 4-3 HT 1-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamalek
1-0
AWAY El Gounah
1.71 xG 0.74
67% Ball Possession 33%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 11
404 Passes 147
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
24 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zamalek vs El Gounah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamalek nicked a narrow win over El Gounah 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zamalek as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zamalek had 67% of the ball to El Gounah's 33%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.71 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamalek had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Zamalek and 1.33 for El Gounah.

What was the final score of Zamalek vs El Gounah?

Zamalek 1-0 El Gounah in the Egypt - Premier League on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamalek vs El Gounah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Zamalek 49%, draw 23%, El Gounah 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamalek), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zamalek) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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