El Gounah vs Zamalek Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Gounah v Zamalek — Team-Based Signals
El Gounah vs Zamalek Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 0-2
Zamalek
MSR
2-1
HT 2-1
El Gounah
MSR
0-0
HT 0-0
Zamalek
MSR
1-0
HT 1-0
El Gounah
MSR
4-3
HT 1-1
El Gounah
MSR
0-2
HT 0-1
Zamalek
MSR
El Gounah 3-2 Zamalek — Actual Match Statistics
El Gounah squeezed past Zamalek 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; El Gounah found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, El Gounah had 26% of the ball to Zamalek's 74%, shots finished 14-21, expected goals 1.20 to 2.08 — on chances, Zamalek could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamalek led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for El Gounah and 2.17 for Zamalek.
What was the final score of El Gounah vs Zamalek?
El Gounah 3-2 Zamalek in the Egypt - Premier League on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Gounah vs Zamalek?
Before kick-off our model rated an Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split El Gounah 31%, draw 30%, Zamalek 39%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.