National Bank of Egypt vs Al Ahly Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
National Bank of Egypt v Al Ahly — Team-Based Signals
National Bank of Egypt vs Al Ahly Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
Al Ahly
MSR
1-0
HT 1-0
National Bank of Egypt
MSR
0-0
HT 0-0
Al Ahly
MSR
1-0
HT 0-0
National Bank of Egypt
MSR
1-1
HT 0-0
National Bank of Egypt
MSR
0-0
HT 0-0
Al Ahly
MSR
National Bank of Egypt 4-3 Al Ahly — Actual Match Statistics
National Bank of Egypt nicked a narrow win over Al Ahly 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Al Ahly at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, National Bank of Egypt had 46% of the ball to Al Ahly's 54%, shots finished 10-17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for National Bank of Egypt and 1.00 for Al Ahly.
What was the final score of National Bank of Egypt vs Al Ahly?
National Bank of Egypt 4-3 Al Ahly in the Egypt - Premier League on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for National Bank of Egypt vs Al Ahly?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split National Bank of Egypt 28%, draw 27%, Al Ahly 45%. The final score 4-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.