Baltika Kaliningrad 2-0 Chernomorets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+3.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 27%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.39/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.22
+6% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
2-0
AWAY Chernomorets
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Baltika Kaliningrad vs Chernomorets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baltika Kaliningrad beat Chernomorets 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Baltika Kaliningrad as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Baltika Kaliningrad had 49% of the ball to Chernomorets's 51%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of Baltika Kaliningrad vs Chernomorets?

Baltika Kaliningrad 2-0 Chernomorets in the Russia - FNL on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baltika Kaliningrad vs Chernomorets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Baltika Kaliningrad 50%, draw 28%, Chernomorets 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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