FK Ufa 2-2 Tyumen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 2 Aug 2024

FK Ufa
2-2 HT 1-2
Tyumen
📅02/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2024/2025

FK Ufa vs Tyumen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FK Ufa v Tyumen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Ufa EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Tyumen EU Bookmakers 28%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.98/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.23
+35% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.2
POST-MATCH FK Ufa vs Tyumen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Ufa and Tyumen couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was FK Ufa at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of FK Ufa vs Tyumen?

FK Ufa 2-2 Tyumen in the Russia - FNL on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Ufa vs Tyumen?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Ufa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FK Ufa 44%, draw 29%, Tyumen 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FK Ufa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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