Napredak Krusevac 1-1 IMT Novi Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 46%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.29/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.94
+27% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
265 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
18.6 Crosses 14.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
0W-1D-1L
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.41 xG 1.99
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
285 Passes 296
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
06.11.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-4 HT 0-2 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
1-1
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
0.71 xG 0.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
327 Passes 290
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs IMT Novi Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napredak Krusevac and IMT Novi Beograd couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was IMT Novi Beograd at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 53% of the ball to IMT Novi Beograd's 47%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.71 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, IMT Novi Beograd led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 2.50 for IMT Novi Beograd.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Napredak Krusevac 1-1 IMT Novi Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated an IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 27%, draw 29%, IMT Novi Beograd 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) ✓ Under 2.5
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