IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 Napredak Krusevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 30%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +22%
1.43/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.10
-32% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
22.6 Crosses 17.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.36 xG 0.22
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
298 Passes 274
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 15
8 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-4 HT 0-2 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
1-1
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
1.62 xG 0.61
50% Ball Possession 50%
24 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
295 Passes 296
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
39 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IMT Novi Beograd vs Napredak Krusevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IMT Novi Beograd and Napredak Krusevac shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was IMT Novi Beograd at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, IMT Novi Beograd had 50% of the ball to Napredak Krusevac's 50%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 1.62 to 0.61.

What was the final score of IMT Novi Beograd vs Napredak Krusevac?

IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Super League on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IMT Novi Beograd vs Napredak Krusevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split IMT Novi Beograd 42%, draw 25%, Napredak Krusevac 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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