Javor Ivanjica 1-0 Mladost Lucani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 8 Apr 2024

📅08/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+7.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.3pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Javor Ivanjica EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +22%
1.30/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.47
+15% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
268 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 71%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
24.0 Crosses 15.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Javor Ivanjica
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Mladost Lucani
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.94 xG 1.16
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
219 Passes 262
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.11.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-0 HT 1-0 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica SIRP
22.05.2023 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica 0-1 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
06.03.2023 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica 1-1 HT 0-1 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
05.09.2022 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 4-1 HT 3-1 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica SIRP
07.02.2021 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica 4-1 HT 3-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
31.07.2020 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 2-1 HT 2-0 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Javor Ivanjica
1-0
AWAY Mladost Lucani
1.06 xG 1.12
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 Passes 398
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Javor Ivanjica vs Mladost Lucani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Javor Ivanjica nicked a narrow win over Mladost Lucani 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Javor Ivanjica found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Javor Ivanjica had 47% of the ball to Mladost Lucani's 53%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.06 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mladost Lucani led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Javor Ivanjica and 1.67 for Mladost Lucani.

What was the final score of Javor Ivanjica vs Mladost Lucani?

Javor Ivanjica 1-0 Mladost Lucani in the Serbia - Super League on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Javor Ivanjica vs Mladost Lucani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Javor Ivanjica win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Javor Ivanjica 37%, draw 28%, Mladost Lucani 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Javor Ivanjica), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Javor Ivanjica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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