Radomlje 1-0 Domzale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.61
6+ Goals
12%
14.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.61 — our 26% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomlje EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Domzale EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
0.98/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.24
-22% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomlje
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Domzale
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Domzale Domzale 1-1 HT 1-1 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
13.03.2024 Radomlje Radomlje 2-0 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
02.12.2023 Domzale Domzale 3-0 HT 2-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
17.09.2023 Radomlje Radomlje 3-1 HT 3-1 Domzale Domzale SLVN
15.03.2023 Domzale Domzale 1-2 HT 0-1 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
30.11.2022 Radomlje Radomlje 0-2 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomlje
1-0
AWAY Domzale
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Radomlje vs Domzale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radomlje nicked a narrow win over Domzale 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Radomlje as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Radomlje had 45% of the ball to Domzale's 55%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radomlje had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Radomlje and 1.33 for Domzale.

What was the final score of Radomlje vs Domzale?

Radomlje 1-0 Domzale in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomlje vs Domzale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radomlje win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Radomlje 42%, draw 27%, Domzale 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radomlje) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radomlje) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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