Domzale 1-1 Radomlje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.78
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 31% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-3.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.0pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Domzale EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomlje EU Bookmakers 50%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.22/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.64
+7% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +65%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
275 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Domzale
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Radomlje
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.03.2024 Radomlje Radomlje 2-0 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
02.12.2023 Domzale Domzale 3-0 HT 2-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
17.09.2023 Radomlje Radomlje 3-1 HT 3-1 Domzale Domzale SLVN
15.03.2023 Domzale Domzale 1-2 HT 0-1 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
30.11.2022 Radomlje Radomlje 0-2 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
09.09.2022 Domzale Domzale 3-1 HT 0-1 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Domzale
1-1
AWAY Radomlje
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Domzale vs Radomlje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Domzale and Radomlje shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Radomlje at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Domzale had 49% of the ball to Radomlje's 51%, shots finished 13-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Domzale and 1.33 for Radomlje.

What was the final score of Domzale vs Radomlje?

Domzale 1-1 Radomlje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Domzale vs Radomlje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Radomlje win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Domzale 31%, draw 26%, Radomlje 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Radomlje), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radomlje) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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