Guangxi Baoyun 3-2 Shenzhen Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.77
6+ Goals
7%
16.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 35% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
25%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-4.3pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.2pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen Juniors EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.61/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.44
-43% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
12.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
16.1 Crosses 22.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guangxi Baoyun
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Shenzhen Juniors
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.53 xG 1.38
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
204 Passes 350
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2025 Shenzhen Juniors Shenzhen Juniors 2-0 HT 2-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangxi Baoyun
3-2
AWAY Shenzhen Juniors
1.57 xG 1.79
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
183 Passes 339
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 29
23 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guangxi Baoyun vs Shenzhen Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Baoyun edged past Shenzhen Juniors 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (31% / 32% / 37%) promised a tight game; Guangxi Baoyun found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guangxi Baoyun had 39% of the ball to Shenzhen Juniors's 61%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.57 to 1.79.

What was the final score of Guangxi Baoyun vs Shenzhen Juniors?

Guangxi Baoyun 3-2 Shenzhen Juniors in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangxi Baoyun vs Shenzhen Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shenzhen Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Guangxi Baoyun 31%, draw 32%, Shenzhen Juniors 37%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shenzhen Juniors) ✗ Under 2.5
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