Union Espanola 1-0 La Serena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.97
Over 2.5
59%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.63
No
40%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+5.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
47%
-5.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
53%
+5.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
57%
+3.2pp
40%
BTTS No
43%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY La Serena EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.40/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.25
+43% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
21.6 Crosses 16.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Espanola
2W-2D-2L
AWAY La Serena
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.21 xG 0.94
52% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 Passes 288
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.03.2025 La Serena La Serena 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
14.09.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 0-1 HT 0-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
15.04.2022 La Serena La Serena 1-2 HT 1-1 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
25.09.2021 Union Espanola Union Espanola 2-1 HT 2-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
24.04.2021 La Serena La Serena 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
11.02.2021 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-1 HT 0-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Espanola
1-0
AWAY La Serena
1.75 xG 1.35
57% Ball Possession 43%
24 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 2
372 Passes 280
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
38 Box Touches 12
41 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Espanola vs La Serena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Espanola edged past La Serena 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Union Espanola as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Espanola had 57% of the ball to La Serena's 43%, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 1.75 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Union Espanola and 0.83 for La Serena.

What was the final score of Union Espanola vs La Serena?

Union Espanola 1-0 La Serena in the Chile - Premier League on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Espanola vs La Serena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Espanola win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Union Espanola 47%, draw 23%, La Serena 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Espanola) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Espanola) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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