02/08/2025
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
San Miguel vs Colegiales Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
70%
Over
30%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
45%
2-3
36%
4-5
13%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 70% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
BTTS No
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
57%
Home Win
55%
28%
Draw
28%
15%
Away Win
17%
35%
BTTS Yes
32%
65%
BTTS No
68%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Miguel v Colegiales — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
San Miguel
The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY
Colegiales
The Market 20%
+6% /
-4%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-7% /
-7%
1.31/0.62
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.23/1.13
-1%
/
+3%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-68%
/
+10%
56%
Ball Possession
44%
14
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
4
360 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
246 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
San Miguel vs Colegiales Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
San Miguel
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Colegiales
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
San Miguel vs Colegiales
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
San Miguel nicked a narrow win over Colegiales 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had San Miguel as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of San Miguel vs Colegiales?
San Miguel 2-1 Colegiales in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Miguel vs Colegiales?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Miguel win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split San Miguel 57%, draw 28%, Colegiales 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Miguel) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (San Miguel)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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