Ried 2-2 Salzburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 2 Aug 2025

Ried
2-2 HT 1-1
Salzburg
📅02/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Ried vs Salzburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
51%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+4.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-4.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ried v Salzburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ried EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Salzburg EU Bookmakers 60%
+9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -32%
0.99/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.38
+17% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -18%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
12.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
10.6 Crosses 18.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Ried vs Salzburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ried
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Salzburg
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.98 xG 2.47
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
202 Passes 440
63% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 33
8 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.02.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Ried Ried AVU
10.09.2022 Ried Ried 0-3 HT 0-2 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
01.05.2022 Salzburg Salzburg 3-0 HT 1-0 Ried Ried AUK
30.10.2021 Ried Ried 2-2 HT 1-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
01.08.2021 Salzburg Salzburg 7-1 HT 2-0 Ried Ried AVU
27.01.2021 Salzburg Salzburg 3-0 HT 3-0 Ried Ried AVU

Ried 2-2 Salzburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ried
2-2
AWAY Salzburg
0.80 xG 2.82
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 28
4 Shots on Target 13
2 Corners 14
179 Passes 466
65% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 49
7 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ried vs Salzburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ried and Salzburg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Salzburg at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ried had 33% of the ball to Salzburg's 67%, shots finished 9-28, expected goals 0.80 to 2.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ried and 3.33 for Salzburg.

What was the final score of Ried vs Salzburg?

Ried 2-2 Salzburg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ried vs Salzburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ried 26%, draw 23%, Salzburg 51%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Salzburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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