Hwaseong 0-1 Gimpo Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.45
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.33
6+ Goals
9%
23.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.0pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 48%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.83/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.76
-32% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +43%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
242 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
11.5 Crosses 19.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hwaseong
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
3 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
273 Passes 320
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
7 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.05.2025 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GKOR2
09.11.2021 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
04.06.2021 Hwaseong Hwaseong 0-1 HT 0-1 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GK3L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hwaseong
0-1
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
310 Passes 213
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Gimpo Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimpo Citizen nicked a narrow win over Hwaseong 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Gimpo Citizen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hwaseong had 58% of the ball to Gimpo Citizen's 42%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gimpo Citizen led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Hwaseong and 1.00 for Gimpo Citizen.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Gimpo Citizen?

Hwaseong 0-1 Gimpo Citizen in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Gimpo Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimpo Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 32%, draw 29%, Gimpo Citizen 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimpo Citizen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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