Gimpo Citizen 1-0 Hwaseong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.69
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
19.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.6pp
34%
Draw
26%
+7.3pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 29%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-45% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
355 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 70%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.3 Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimpo Citizen
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Hwaseong
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
09.11.2021 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
04.06.2021 Hwaseong Hwaseong 0-1 HT 0-1 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GK3L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimpo Citizen
1-0
AWAY Hwaseong
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
320 Passes 273
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gimpo Citizen vs Hwaseong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimpo Citizen edged past Hwaseong 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 34% / 26% — and on the day Gimpo Citizen made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Gimpo Citizen had 49% of the ball to Hwaseong's 51%, shots finished 11-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gimpo Citizen had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gimpo Citizen and 0.00 for Hwaseong.

What was the final score of Gimpo Citizen vs Hwaseong?

Gimpo Citizen 1-0 Hwaseong in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimpo Citizen vs Hwaseong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimpo Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gimpo Citizen 40%, draw 34%, Hwaseong 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimpo Citizen), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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