Asan Mugunghwa 0-3 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 10 May 2025

Asan Mugunghwa
0-3 HT 0-1
Incheon United
📅10/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Challenge – 2025

Asan Mugunghwa vs Incheon United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.32
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
36%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.84
6+ Goals
8%
17.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 34% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.5pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
36%
Away Win
46%
-10.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.0pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Asan Mugunghwa v Incheon United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United EU Bookmakers 50%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.27/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+12% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +98% / +6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
244 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 80%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.9 Crosses 8.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0

Asan Mugunghwa 0-3 Incheon United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
0-3
AWAY Incheon United
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
288 Passes 592
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
17 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Incheon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United swept aside Asan Mugunghwa 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day Incheon United made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 34% of the ball to Incheon United's 66%, shots finished 7-7.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Incheon United?

Asan Mugunghwa 0-3 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Incheon United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 33%, draw 31%, Incheon United 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Incheon United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Incheon United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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