02/08/2025
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
1-3
Augsdaugava vs Marupe Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
32%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
27%
Draw
24%
52%
Away Win
55%
47%
Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 2.5
53%
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
42%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Augsdaugava v Marupe — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Augsdaugava
EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY
Marupe
EU Bookmakers 58%
-30% /
-30%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+24% /
+24%
1.00/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.35/1.00
+5%
/
-9%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+42%
/
+21%
46%
Ball Possession
54%
10
Total Shots
15
4
Shots on Target
6
5
Corners
6
306 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
365 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Augsdaugava vs Marupe Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Augsdaugava
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Marupe
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Augsdaugava vs Marupe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Marupe nicked a narrow win over Augsdaugava 1-0 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Marupe as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Augsdaugava vs Marupe?
Augsdaugava 0-1 Marupe in the Latvia - 1st Division on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Augsdaugava vs Marupe?
Before kick-off our model rated an Marupe win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Augsdaugava 22%, draw 27%, Marupe 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marupe) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Marupe)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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