Marupe 2-0 Augsdaugava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2025

Marupe
2-0
Augsdaugava
📅06/04/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2025

Marupe vs Augsdaugava Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-11.0pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.4pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Marupe v Augsdaugava — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marupe EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsdaugava EU Bookmakers 16%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +26%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Marupe vs Augsdaugava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marupe beat Augsdaugava 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Marupe as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Marupe vs Augsdaugava?

Marupe 2-0 Augsdaugava in the Latvia - 1st Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marupe vs Augsdaugava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marupe win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Marupe 57%, draw 25%, Augsdaugava 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marupe), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marupe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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