Tukums II 2-1 Leevon / PPK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2025

Tukums II
2-1
Leevon / PPK
📅06/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Latvia - 1st Division – 2025

Tukums II vs Leevon / PPK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.25
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
45%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
40%
-13.0pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.5pp
45%
Away Win
39%
+6.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.3pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tukums II v Leevon / PPK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tukums II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Leevon / PPK EU Bookmakers 43%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.79/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.60
+6% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
733 · 90% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Tukums II vs Leevon / PPK Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tukums II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Leevon / PPK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
05.07.2024 Tukums II Tukums II 0-2 Leevon / PPK Leevon / PPK LET1
POST-MATCH Tukums II vs Leevon / PPK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tukums II squeezed past Leevon / PPK 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Leevon / PPK at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Tukums II vs Leevon / PPK?

Tukums II 2-1 Leevon / PPK in the Latvia - 1st Division on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tukums II vs Leevon / PPK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leevon / PPK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tukums II 27%, draw 27%, Leevon / PPK 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leevon / PPK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leevon / PPK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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