05/07/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
0-2
Tukums II vs Leevon / PPK Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
23%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
11%
24%
Draw
16%
57%
Away Win
72%
54%
Under 2.5
34%
46%
Over 2.5
66%
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
56%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tukums II v Leevon / PPK — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tukums II
EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY
Leevon / PPK
EU Bookmakers 77%
+1% /
+1%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-71%
/
-48%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
40%
Ball Possession
60%
8
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Target
5
3
Corners
7
230 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
416 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Tukums II vs Leevon / PPK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Leevon / PPK saw off Tukums II 2-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Leevon / PPK as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Tukums II vs Leevon / PPK?
Tukums II 0-2 Leevon / PPK in the Latvia - 1st Division on 05/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tukums II vs Leevon / PPK?
Before kick-off our model rated an Leevon / PPK win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Tukums II 19%, draw 24%, Leevon / PPK 57%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leevon / PPK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Leevon / PPK)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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5 Jul 2024