Skanste 1-0 Valmiera II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 5 Jul 2024

Skanste
1-0
Valmiera II
📅05/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

Skanste vs Valmiera II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.47
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.96
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
No
37%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
3%
1/X
16%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
37%
-12.8pp
32%
Draw
24%
+7.8pp
44%
Away Win
39%
+5.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Skanste v Valmiera II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skanste EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Valmiera II EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.50/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.50
-70% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
333 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 90%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Skanste vs Valmiera II Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skanste
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Valmiera II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Skanste Skanste 1-2 HT 0-1 Valmiera II Valmiera II LET1
30.06.2023 Valmiera II Valmiera II 2-3 Skanste Skanste LET1
POST-MATCH Skanste vs Valmiera II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skanste squeezed past Valmiera II 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Valmiera II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Skanste and 2.00 for Valmiera II.

What was the final score of Skanste vs Valmiera II?

Skanste 1-0 Valmiera II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 05/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skanste vs Valmiera II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valmiera II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Skanste 24%, draw 32%, Valmiera II 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Valmiera II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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