Kjelsas 5-4 Hönefoss BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+5.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.6pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kjelsas EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hönefoss BK EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.18/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/2.60
+21% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kjelsas
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hönefoss BK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 1-0 HT 0-0 Kjelsas Kjelsas NOR3
POST-MATCH Kjelsas vs Hönefoss BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kjelsas squeezed past Hönefoss BK 5-4. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kjelsas as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-4 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Kjelsas vs Hönefoss BK?

Kjelsas 5-4 Hönefoss BK in the Norway - 2nd Division on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kjelsas vs Hönefoss BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kjelsas win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kjelsas 51%, draw 23%, Hönefoss BK 26%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kjelsas), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kjelsas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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