Hönefoss BK 1-0 Kjelsas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 25 May 2025

Hönefoss BK
1-0 HT 0-0
Kjelsas
📅25/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Norway - 2nd Division – 2025

Hönefoss BK vs Kjelsas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
47%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.95
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
2.94
6+ Goals
9%
9.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
39%
-8.3pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.1pp
48%
Away Win
36%
+11.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.5pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hönefoss BK v Kjelsas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hönefoss BK EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Kjelsas EU Bookmakers 40%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.12
+13% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +50%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.1

Hönefoss BK 1-0 Kjelsas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hönefoss BK
1-0
AWAY Kjelsas
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hönefoss BK vs Kjelsas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hönefoss BK edged past Kjelsas 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kjelsas at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hönefoss BK had 51% of the ball to Kjelsas's 49%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Hönefoss BK vs Kjelsas?

Hönefoss BK 1-0 Kjelsas in the Norway - 2nd Division on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hönefoss BK vs Kjelsas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kjelsas win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hönefoss BK 31%, draw 22%, Kjelsas 48%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kjelsas) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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