Notodden 2-3 Jerv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 25 May 2025

Notodden
2-3 HT 1-1
Jerv
📅25/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Norway - 2nd Division – 2025

Notodden vs Jerv Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.17
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.42
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
27%
3.23
6+ Goals
9%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
28%
+9.8pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.1pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-5.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Notodden v Jerv — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notodden EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Jerv EU Bookmakers 50%
+11% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.33/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.79
-12% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.0

Notodden vs Jerv Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notodden
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Jerv
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Jerv Jerv 0-0 HT 0-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3
29.06.2024 Notodden Notodden 0-1 HT 0-1 Jerv Jerv NOR3
29.09.2019 Notodden Notodden 1-1 HT 1-0 Jerv Jerv NOR1
22.04.2019 Jerv Jerv 3-1 HT 2-0 Notodden Notodden NOR1
26.08.2018 Notodden Notodden 0-1 HT 0-0 Jerv Jerv NOR1
16.05.2018 Jerv Jerv 1-0 HT 0-0 Notodden Notodden NOR1
POST-MATCH Notodden vs Jerv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jerv nicked a narrow win over Notodden 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 21% / 41%) promised a tight game; Jerv found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jerv led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Notodden and 1.17 for Jerv.

What was the final score of Notodden vs Jerv?

Notodden 2-3 Jerv in the Norway - 2nd Division on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notodden vs Jerv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jerv win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Notodden 38%, draw 21%, Jerv 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jerv), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jerv) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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