Jerv 0-0 Notodden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.65
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
29%
2.62
6+ Goals
14%
6.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
72%
-14.0pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.1pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jerv EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Notodden EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +26%
2.12/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.76
-20% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +50%
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jerv
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Notodden
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2024 Notodden Notodden 0-1 HT 0-1 Jerv Jerv NOR3
29.09.2019 Notodden Notodden 1-1 HT 1-0 Jerv Jerv NOR1
22.04.2019 Jerv Jerv 3-1 HT 2-0 Notodden Notodden NOR1
26.08.2018 Notodden Notodden 0-1 HT 0-0 Jerv Jerv NOR1
16.05.2018 Jerv Jerv 1-0 HT 0-0 Notodden Notodden NOR1
POST-MATCH Jerv vs Notodden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jerv and Notodden played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Jerv carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Jerv had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Jerv and 0.40 for Notodden.

What was the final score of Jerv vs Notodden?

Jerv 0-0 Notodden in the Norway - 2nd Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jerv vs Notodden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jerv win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Jerv 58%, draw 23%, Notodden 19%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jerv) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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