Flekkeroy 1-0 Arendal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.75
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.25
6+ Goals
12%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 29% vs market 21.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.5pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flekkeroy EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Arendal EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -13%
1.71/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.04
-6% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flekkeroy
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Arendal
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Arendal Arendal 2-1 HT 2-0 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy NOR3
19.08.2023 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy 3-0 HT 1-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
08.07.2023 Arendal Arendal 3-0 HT 0-0 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy NOR3
17.09.2022 Arendal Arendal 1-0 HT 0-0 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy NOR3
02.07.2022 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy 3-1 HT 1-1 Arendal Arendal NOR3
28.08.2021 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy 2-2 HT 1-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flekkeroy
1-0
AWAY Arendal
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Flekkeroy vs Arendal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flekkeroy squeezed past Arendal 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Flekkeroy made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Flekkeroy had 56% of the ball to Arendal's 44%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arendal led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Flekkeroy and 1.50 for Arendal.

What was the final score of Flekkeroy vs Arendal?

Flekkeroy 1-0 Arendal in the Norway - 2nd Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flekkeroy vs Arendal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flekkeroy win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Flekkeroy 39%, draw 28%, Arendal 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flekkeroy) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Flekkeroy)
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