Arendal 2-1 Flekkeroy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.51
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.9
6+ Goals
12%
8.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.8pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.1pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+11.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arendal EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Flekkeroy EU Bookmakers 25%
+12% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
2.18/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.95
+4% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arendal
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Flekkeroy
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy 3-0 HT 1-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
08.07.2023 Arendal Arendal 3-0 HT 0-0 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy NOR3
17.09.2022 Arendal Arendal 1-0 HT 0-0 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy NOR3
02.07.2022 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy 3-1 HT 1-1 Arendal Arendal NOR3
28.08.2021 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy 2-2 HT 1-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
28.07.2021 Arendal Arendal 1-1 HT 0-0 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arendal
2-1
AWAY Flekkeroy
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arendal vs Flekkeroy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arendal edged past Flekkeroy 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arendal as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Arendal had 43% of the ball to Flekkeroy's 57%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Arendal and 1.50 for Flekkeroy.

What was the final score of Arendal vs Flekkeroy?

Arendal 2-1 Flekkeroy in the Norway - 2nd Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arendal vs Flekkeroy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arendal win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Arendal 49%, draw 19%, Flekkeroy 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arendal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arendal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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