Kjelsas 3-1 Gjovik-Lyn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.27
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.93
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
23%
2.78
6+ Goals
14%
7.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
74%
-10.0pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.7pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.6pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kjelsas EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Gjovik-Lyn EU Bookmakers 12%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.67/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.72
-37% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
452 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kjelsas
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Gjovik-Lyn
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
27.08.2022 Gjovik-Lyn Gjovik-Lyn 1-0 HT 1-0 Kjelsas Kjelsas NOR3
28.05.2022 Kjelsas Kjelsas 4-0 HT 2-0 Gjovik-Lyn Gjovik-Lyn NOR3
POST-MATCH Kjelsas vs Gjovik-Lyn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kjelsas beat Gjovik-Lyn 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kjelsas as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kjelsas and 0.50 for Gjovik-Lyn.

What was the final score of Kjelsas vs Gjovik-Lyn?

Kjelsas 3-1 Gjovik-Lyn in the Norway - 2nd Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kjelsas vs Gjovik-Lyn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kjelsas win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Kjelsas 65%, draw 19%, Gjovik-Lyn 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kjelsas), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kjelsas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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