Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 4-0 Miedz Legnica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.08
6+ Goals
11%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
4-0
AWAY Miedz Legnica
51% Ball Possession 49%
21 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Miedz Legnica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki ran out comfortable winners over Miedz Legnica 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Miedz Legnica at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki had 51% of the ball to Miedz Legnica's 49%, shots finished 21-9.

What was the final score of Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Miedz Legnica?

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 4-0 Miedz Legnica in the Poland - 1st Division on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Miedz Legnica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Miedz Legnica win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 31%, draw 26%, Miedz Legnica 43%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Miedz Legnica), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Miedz Legnica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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