Stal Mielec 1-3 Polonia Warszawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2025

Stal Mielec
1-3 HT 0-2
Polonia Warszawa
📅02/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Poland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Stal Mielec vs Polonia Warszawa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.51
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stal Mielec v Polonia Warszawa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 43%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
2.18/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.02
+67% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.1

Stal Mielec 1-3 Polonia Warszawa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Mielec
1-3
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stal Mielec vs Polonia Warszawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Warszawa saw off Stal Mielec 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Polonia Warszawa found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stal Mielec had 52% of the ball to Polonia Warszawa's 48%, shots finished 22-13.

What was the final score of Stal Mielec vs Polonia Warszawa?

Stal Mielec 1-3 Polonia Warszawa in the Poland - 1st Division on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Mielec vs Polonia Warszawa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonia Warszawa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stal Mielec 35%, draw 27%, Polonia Warszawa 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Warszawa), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polonia Warszawa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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