Mladost Lucani 1-0 Radnik Surdulica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.53
Draw
21%
2.94
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
36%
+7.5pp
21%
Draw
30%
-9.4pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.7pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnik Surdulica EU Bookmakers 37%
+14% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.31/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.14
+6% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / +92%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.9 Crosses 17.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mladost Lucani
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Radnik Surdulica
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.03 xG 1.24
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
250 Passes 251
66% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 1-1 HT 0-1 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
31.07.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 0-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
09.05.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 2-0 HT 2-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
10.02.2023 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 1-0 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
14.08.2022 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 3-2 HT 1-1 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
08.05.2022 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 2-3 HT 1-1 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mladost Lucani
1-0
AWAY Radnik Surdulica
0.82 xG 0.83
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
199 Passes 386
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mladost Lucani vs Radnik Surdulica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mladost Lucani nicked a narrow win over Radnik Surdulica 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mladost Lucani as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mladost Lucani had 38% of the ball to Radnik Surdulica's 62%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.82 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mladost Lucani and 1.17 for Radnik Surdulica.

What was the final score of Mladost Lucani vs Radnik Surdulica?

Mladost Lucani 1-0 Radnik Surdulica in the Serbia - Super League on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mladost Lucani vs Radnik Surdulica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mladost Lucani win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mladost Lucani 43%, draw 21%, Radnik Surdulica 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mladost Lucani), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mladost Lucani) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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