Backa Topola 2-0 Spartak Subotica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.85/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.37
+30% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
17.6 Crosses 18.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Backa Topola
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Spartak Subotica
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.56 xG 1.04
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
495 Passes 199
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2025 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-1 HT 0-1 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRBK
08.12.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-0 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
04.08.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
16.03.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-4 HT 0-2 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
08.10.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 0-2 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
25.02.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-2 HT 2-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Backa Topola
2-0
AWAY Spartak Subotica
2.05 xG 1.54
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
350 Passes 227
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Backa Topola vs Spartak Subotica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Backa Topola beat Spartak Subotica 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Backa Topola as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Backa Topola had 58% of the ball to Spartak Subotica's 42%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 2.05 to 1.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Backa Topola and 1.17 for Spartak Subotica.

What was the final score of Backa Topola vs Spartak Subotica?

Backa Topola 2-0 Spartak Subotica in the Serbia - Super League on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs Spartak Subotica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 49%, draw 25%, Spartak Subotica 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Backa Topola), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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