Backa Topola 2-1 Spartak Subotica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Cup, 12 Mar 2025

📅12/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-9.4pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.4pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.1pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 16%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
2.61/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
411 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Backa Topola
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Spartak Subotica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.57 xG 0.94
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
467 Passes 193
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-0 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
04.08.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
16.03.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-4 HT 0-2 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
08.10.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 0-2 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
25.02.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-2 HT 2-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
26.08.2022 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-0 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Backa Topola
2-1
AWAY Spartak Subotica
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Backa Topola vs Spartak Subotica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Backa Topola squeezed past Spartak Subotica 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Backa Topola as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Backa Topola had 62% of the ball to Spartak Subotica's 38%, shots finished 18-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Backa Topola and 1.00 for Spartak Subotica.

What was the final score of Backa Topola vs Spartak Subotica?

Backa Topola 2-1 Spartak Subotica in the Serbia - Cup on 12/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs Spartak Subotica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 56%, draw 23%, Spartak Subotica 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Backa Topola) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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