Backa Topola 0-0 Spartak Subotica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
67%
-11.3pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.6pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+5.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 16%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +24%
2.11/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.98
+6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +19%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
24.9 Crosses 13.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Backa Topola
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Spartak Subotica
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.85 xG 0.81
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
413 Passes 193
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-4 HT 0-2 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
08.10.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 0-2 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
25.02.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-2 HT 2-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
26.08.2022 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-0 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
19.02.2022 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-1 HT 1-1 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
10.09.2021 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-0 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Backa Topola
0-0
AWAY Spartak Subotica
0.53 xG 1.89
73% Ball Possession 27%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
591 Passes 172
90% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Backa Topola vs Spartak Subotica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Backa Topola and Spartak Subotica fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Backa Topola at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Backa Topola had 73% of the ball to Spartak Subotica's 27%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 0.53 to 1.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Backa Topola and 1.17 for Spartak Subotica.

What was the final score of Backa Topola vs Spartak Subotica?

Backa Topola 0-0 Spartak Subotica in the Serbia - Super League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs Spartak Subotica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 55%, draw 26%, Spartak Subotica 19%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Backa Topola), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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